HOVG Heroes: Jack Morris

TODD COPPERNOLL ON JACK MORRIS

A picture of durability, Jack Morris started 549 games in the major leagues, with just two trips to the disabled list. Along the way, Morris racked up 175 complete games, and 28 shutouts, at one point making 490 consecutive starts without missing a turn in the rotation. He did not make it to 300 wins, he does not have 3000 career strikeouts, and he never won a Cy Young Award, but Morris was one of the most dependable starting pitchers of his generation, and he did win a World Series MVP. Does he measure up to the starting pitchers in the Hall of Fame?

Let's dive in.

Selected out of Brigham Young University by the Detroit Tigers in round five of the 1976 draft, Morris shot to the major leagues, making one start for Detroit in 1977, as a replacement for injured star Mark "The Bird" Fydrich. The following season he was up for good, pitching mostly in relief before stepping into the Tigers' rotation in 1979. That first year as a starter, Morris went 17-7, with an ERA of 3.28, completing nine of his starts, pitching one shutout. The Tigers had found an ace- Morris would anchor their rotation for twelve seasons.

Along the way in Detroit, Morris won 198 games, threw a no-hitter and went 3-1 with three complete games in the post-season, helping the Tigers to the 1984 World Series title. During the 1980s, Morris averaged 244 innings pitched per season, and won 162 games, more than any other pitcher that decade.

Following the 1990 season, a tearful Morris signed a free agent contract with the Minnesota Twins. At the press conference to announce the move, the St Paul native wept openly, saying he'd always wanted to pitch for the Twins. During his season in Minnesota, Morris delivered, winning 18 regular season games, and then turning in a spectacular performance in the World Series. In that series, Morris started three games, going 2-0, with an ERA of 1.17 in 23 innings pitched. Most have forgotten that Morris won Game One of that series, but few who saw it could ever forget his performance in Game Seven.

That night, with the Metrodome packed to the roof, and louder than a jet engine, Morris faced the Atlanta Braves, matching up with John Smoltz. Smoltz was outstanding, allowing no runs through 7 1/3, but Morris stole the show, going the distance in a 1-0, 10 inning victory, to bring the World Series trophy home to his native state. If a player can get into the Hall based on one big time performance, this is the one for Morris, no question.

Following that season, Morris seemed to forget how happy he'd been to go home the prior year. In a move that has many Twins fans angry with him to this day, Jack left Minnesota, signing with the Toronto Blue Jays.

His first season in Toronto went well, Jack won 21 games for the Jays, then started four post-season games as the team won its first ever World Series. This would turn out to be the beginning of the end for Morris, he pitched two more seasons, one each in Toronto and Cleveland, but he was fading fast.

Morris retired after a brutal 1994 season which saw him post an ERA of 5.6, which was actually an improvement over 1993's 6.19.

Morris was definitely durable enough to get into the Hall, and he had his share of big moments along the way, but how does he compare to the Hall of Fame pitchers from his era?

There are currently nine starting pitchers in the Hall who were active during Morris' time in the majors (I chose not to count Dennis Eckersley). The nine members are Catfish Hunter, Jim Palmer, Fergie Jenkins, Gaylord Perry, Tom Seaver, Steve Carlton, Phil Niekro, Don Sutton and Nolan Ryan, I'll use them as the control group for Morris' comparison.

These averages are on a per season basis, one season = 34 games started or 68 relief appearances, S=Seasons Played

S	W	L	CG	SHO	HR	BB	K	ERA
19.9	15	11	11	2	20	75	171	3.05	GROUP
16.4	16	11	11	1	24	87	156	3.90	MORRIS

When you take away the rhetoric and get right down to the numbers, Morris doesn't seem to compare well to the Hall of Famers from his era. He does well in wins and losses, and he's right there in complete games, but from there on it's not a match. Morris' ERA is nearly a run higher, he allowed 20% more home runs per season than the control group, and his walks are higher, while his strikeouts are lower.

I'm certain some of these numbers could be attributed to his pitching in Tiger Stadium, which was a place where home runs were frequent, but to my eyes, the discrepancies between Morris and the Hall members are too great to be written off as ballpark effect.

I have a great deal of respect for Morris, he was a tough competitor on the mound, who kept his team in most games and could always be counted on to take the ball. I also think his post-season record should be taken into account, he was the ace of the '84 Tigers team that won it all, and there's no question that the '91 Twins couldn't have done it without him.

Despite those facts, when I look at Jack's career totals versus those of the Hall members from his era, he just doesn't warrant a yes vote in my opinion.  I have to say no, very nice career, some real high points, but no.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Todd Coppernoll recently launched his website Baseball in the Blood, an entertaining mix of news, history and overall silly baseball stuff.  You can follow him on Twitter at @bballintheblood or over on Facebook.

HOVG Heroes: Dale Murphy

TODD COPPERNOLL on DALE MURPHY

Greetings, Hall of Fame Jurors, it’s time for you to decide the fate of Mr Dale Murphy. Before we proceed, there are some things I'd like to say on Mr Murphy's behalf.

First of all, Murph played the majority of his career on Atlanta Braves teams whose talent was closer to that of the Columbus Clippers than that of the New York Yankees. Forget the notion of Dale pounding fastballs over the fence because the pitcher was more focused on holding the runner. Don't worry about inflated RBI totals for a man who constantly batted with runners in scoring position. Anything Dale Murphy achieved as a major league player was done on talent alone, there was no place to hide, and there was no one to lean on.

Shortly before he turned eighteen, Dale Murphy was drafted by the Braves with the fifth overall pick in the 1974 draft. Coming through the minor leagues as a catcher, Murphy was on a fast track to stardom. Dale made his first big league appearance at the age of 20, and was in the majors to stay at age 22.

Dale's major league career did not start with a bang, while he showed power from the beginning, his skills were very raw- the statistics from his rookie season bear that out. That first year Murphy hit 23 home runs in 530 at-bats, but he also struck out 145 times, finishing with a batting average of .226 and an on base percentage of .284.

Murphy's breakthrough season came in 1982, when he was age twenty-six. That year, the Braves began the season 13-0, and went on to win the National League West, before losing in the playoffs to St Louis. Murphy established himself as the star of the team, winning his first Gold Glove, his first Silver Slugger and the first of two consecutive NL MVP awards.

This began a run of six consecutive seasons which will ultimately decide Murphy's fate with Hall of Fame voters. From 1982-1987, Murphy won two MVP Awards, five (consecutive) Gold Gloves and four (consecutive) Silver Sluggers. He played in every game from '82-'85 and missed only five games total over the six seasons.

A true superstar during this time, Murphy averaged 36 home runs per year, and had a 30/30 season for good measure. If you remember Dale Murphy as one of the greats of his generation, it's the images of these seasons that will come to mind.

On the downside, Murphy slowed rapidly, beginning at age thirty-two.

In 1987, Murphy hit .295, with a career-high 44 home runs, 105 RBI and 16 stolen bases. In '88 he fell to a batting average of .226, with 24 home runs, 77 RBI, and three steals.

He was never a dominant player again. Just like that.

The era of the 70s and 80s was not a great time to be a power hitter, historically speaking.  Among players who debuted in the 1970s, only Mike Schmidt and Eddie Murray went on to hit 500 home runs.

With that in mind, I decided to compare Murphy's career stats to Schmidt and Murray, and added contemporary Hall of Famers Dave Winfield, George Brett, and Robin Yount.

Here's what I found:

	Season	Runs	Hits	2B	HR	RBI	AVG.	OPS
Murphy	13.4	89	157	26	30	94	.265	.815
Control Group	17.2	93	173	32	24	97	.285	.839

Here we can quickly see why Murphy is a borderline case, and why he has failed to win the fancy of the Hall voters. The abrupt decline of his productivity left him short of the Control Group by nearly four full seasons played, and also left him short in every category but home runs.

His numbers certainly are respectable, an average of 30 home runs per season during this particular era is quite impressive, but the overall stats do not compare well to this group.

Whether this should influence Hall of Fame voting or not, Mr. Murphy is regarded as a first class gentleman by anyone you'll ever hear speaking about him. He's an easy guy to root for.  He did his job, did it very well, and didn't complain publicly about the lack of talent around him, although he would have been justified to do so.

All things considered, what I see here is a very good player, who had a great peak to his career. With two or three more dominant seasons, Murphy would have had my vote with ease, but things didn't turn out that way. Murph tried to hang on long enough to reach 400 career home runs, but hit only two while batting well below .200 during his final two years as a player. He came just short of the milestone because his skills gave out just a bit too soon, which is exactly the way I see his case for the Hall of Fame.

My vote is a disappointing no, made such by my own wish to see nice guys succeed. I can't say yes on this one, but I would be very pleased if I'm in the minority.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Todd Coppernoll recently launched his website Baseball in the Blood, an entertaining mix of news, history and overall silly baseball stuff.  You can follow him on Twitter at @bballintheblood or over on Facebook.